Holmlid ICF patent: 95g of D will produce 9 GWh per year

I find this passage in the patent really interesting as well.

… These studies yield a pulse energy around 1 J at break-even. In our experiments, break-even is indeed observed at 1 J pulse energy. From break-even to an energy gain of 1000, a further factor of at least 4 in laser pulse energy is required. We conclude that the available information agrees that useful power output from nuclear fusion in ultra-dense hydrogen will be found at laser pulse energy of 4 J – 1 kJ. Such a pulse energy is feasible.

[0066] At a rate of one carrier foil per second carrying 3 [micro]g ultra-dense deuterium giving fusion ignition, the energy output of a power station using this method is approximately 1 MW. This would use 95 g of deuterium per year to produce 9 GWh, or one 5 liter gas bottle at 100 bar standard pressure. By using several lines of target carrier production, several laser lines or a higher repetition rate laser, the output of the power station can be scaled relatively easily.

New Holmlid Patent on Inertial Confinement Fusion

I find this very interesting. I’m unfortunately not skilled enough to understand everything, but it seems to me that the experimental results shows considerable excess energy.

Method and apparatus for generating energy through inertial confinement fusion, by Leif Holmlid:

” … [0088] An energy consideration for the positive MeV particles is more accurate. Since the true signal is of the order of 5 V in 50 [Omega] during 100 ns, the charge observed is 1*10<-8> As or 6*10<10> ions per laser shot. With a average energy of 3 MeV, this corresponds to 30 mJ energy. Assuming isotropic initial emission and using the collector geometric viewing factor of 2.1*10<-3> gives 14.5 J per laser shot or 3*10<13> particles per laser shot. This is considerably larger than the laser pulse energy of 0.9 J and means that fusion is above break-even.”

 

Link to Espacenet source

Patent PDF: EP2680271A1

 

 

Open Source E-Cat in a Garage?

 

I just found this in thecomment section of a BLP discussion on E-Catworld from the user “Justin Church”.

 

 

I was looking for updates to the BLP demonstration and was pleasantly surprised to see you guys chattering about our work with catalytic combustion of hho aka oxyhydrogen gas. You seem to have a pretty good grasp on the process. Yes we are sending raw hho, no flame into a standard catalytic converter of a car and seem to be obtaining a substantial amount of heat. A lot more heat than using an hho flame pointed at a piece of metal. We have found many similarities in this process and the so called “E-Cat” device. The heat effect works on the same principle. If you study cold fusion or LENR you will understand they are loading hydrogen into a catalyst metal structure inside the core of a reactor and obtaining an excess heat effect as the hydrogen fuses into the metal lattice to release helium or fuse with the atomic structure of the metal to trans mutate it to another, in Rossi’s case, Nickel is claimed to transmutate to Copper which releases the excess thermal energy. Blacklight Power also use HHO plasma in their reactor and the plasma bursts create electrical energy instead of heat. It is very possible people like Andrea Rossi used a catalytic converter in the beginning stages of the research to get to the point he is now. I am working on sealing up and insulating the cat over the course of the next week or two to get some baseline numbers for everyone. For the most part people have been very positive and excited but we are seeing a lot of “We Want Measurements” from the community as well. Most of these people are what I call the “Peanut Gallery” and have never built anything their-self. They don’t care about the engineering of the device and the usefulness of it unless they are spoon fed numbers. It is a very simple process to test out. Buy or build a small hho generator, inject gas into a catalytic converter, watch it heat up. The information has been out for almost a month now and there have been only about 3 or 4 of us that have actually experimented with it. We are looking for others to join in, we can not do it alone. I am working just as hard as I can to get the cat ready to go up against a standard resistive heater of the same wattage but I have to finalize the design. If we get it right, we can easily build a highly efficent forced air heater or boiler using off the shelf parts. We don’t have to wait for Rossi or others in the Cold Fusion arena to put the technology on the market. Garage Engineers are much better at taking the technology and putting it to use than some of the Corporate boys that haven’t made it out of the lab yet and their reactors are sitting in the corner with more probes on it than a hospital patient. We want to make sure everyone around the globe has the opportunity to explore the same phenomena that most of us can only read about.

I just love it! Regardless of this beeing real or not, this is the way to go. Amazing! I will follow their progress closely from now on.

There is an ongoing discussion here at the H-Cat forum.

Som videos can be found here: Youtube channel JdcProducts and channel Hydrofuelincanada (and he’s playing Panama by Van Halen in the background…like…:)

The Killer App of LENR!

Lets be a bit speculative and focus for a second on what would be the absolute killer app of LENR?

I guess a Rossi style heater is a really good choice. I want one for heating my house. And eventually we will be able to connect it to a generator of sorts to get electricity and then we could also charge the batteries for an EV, etc.

But, I can imagine an even more attractive application … Consider this quote from an article by Mizuno – Confirmation of anomalous hydrogen generation by plasma electrolysis

Continuous generation of hydrogen above levels predicted by Faraday’s law is observed when temperature, current density, input voltage and electrode surface meet certain conditions. Although only a few observations of excess hydrogen gas production have been made, production is sometimes 80 times higher than normal Faradic electrolysis gas production.

 

Then have a look at the slides from yesterdays presentation by BlackLight Power: January 2014 – BlackLight Presentation

Do you see the connection?

You can also search the great number of verified LENR experiments producing excess heat from electrolysis, often using high voltage plasma discharge. Obviously (see Mizuno) they sometimes produce excess hydrogen as well. Although there are few reports.

So. Thinking intuitively; if it is possible to produce a large amount of excess hydrogen from plasma electrolysis in the way Mizuno describes, it could be possible to engineer a device that do this on demand in a combustion engine. Making hydrogen from water and ignite in one go, like a sparkplug!!! Much like the Stan Meyer water fuel car.

The way I see it, this would be THE KILLER APP of LENR. Every combustion engine on the planet could be relatively easy retrofitted to run on hydrogen using plasma electrolysis of water as fuel. Food for thought anyway …

 

Why is it so important for Popular Science to Discredit Rossi?

That they resort to obvious lies? Why do a reasonably respectable (science?) magazine (for some anyway) feel that they need to enter into personal accusations, and lie, to achieve their goals?

Why do they feel that they have to use such value driven language in articles about the E-Cat?

The words “dubious”, “notorious”, “spurious inventions”, etc. only have one purpose. And it is the induce doubt in their readers. Why?

I can understand that the fact-driven traditional physicists have a problem with Rossi and the E-cat, sine he and it represents their biggest personal fears. But Popular Science? A simple magazine?

I guess we need to look at the editors, their careers, their invested pride and their personal agendas to be able to analyze the situation? They would probably much rather bring the magazine down, than admit their faults.

We’ll see!

Industrial Heat has Acquired Andrea Rossi’s E-Cat Technology

Press release

This is  a major step forward. It seems to me that all information implies that the E-cat is very real. I has been sufficiently validated by Levi, Essén & Co and Darden/Vaughn of Cherokee Fund/IH has obviously agreed to this and according to earlier information even built an E-cat of their own independent from Rossi. That works.

So the middle ground is gone. If you’re an pseudosceptic or have an “agenda”, you will have to start discredit Cherokee, not only Rossi and all the people that have met him and seen the E-cat in action (numbers adding up here).

This is actually the kind of news that could make it to the mainstream media. It’s a serious press release and it’s quoted on MarketWatch/WallStreetJournal, which might create an interest in the world of finance.

It will be interesting to follow. The genie might be out of the bottle!

LENR / Cold Fusion in a Psychological Perspective

Being somewhat involved in leadership education and methods I recently had some kind of an insight. A well known tool for learning how the manage and recruit the right personality to the right position is the Jung Typology and MBTI test. You know, if you’re an ENTP profile your the typical “inventor” and if you’re the ISTJ you’re the typical “inspector”.

And right here, we have the conflict of pro and con LENR in a super-simplified psychological profile… In common they have an extrovert “T”, which means that this is what they both show to the outer world. They both prefer to be seen as “thinkers”. But apart from that, they are completely different. The Inventor uses “N” (iNtuition) as the main method of gathering and interpreting information about the world, while the Inspector uses “S” (Senses/facts) to do the same thing. Actually for an Inspector the facts are even more important than thinking since, being introvert, it’s their dominant function, thinking is just a tool to manage the FACTS.

Have a look at these statements to know what I’m talking about and maybe determine your preference. It’s really quite obvious.

(a) Loose speculations bore me the most, or (b) Trivial details bore me the most

(a) I prefer to focus on facts, or (b) I prefer to focus on possibilities and perspectives

Unfortunately I believe that the research community, maybe especially in physics, is overcrowded with the “S” types. And they tend to recruit other “S” types, that will continue to analyse already known facts, or maybe make tiny advancements in really specialized fields. This is the way they want it. They feel safe.

And then comes a “N” type and says: “All the facts that make up the core of your belief, is wrong…”

What will happen? Well the Inspector will fall into pure weakness, because new things are dangerous to them. And they will show feelings instead of thinking. However they are not especially good at this so they start defending and attacking, using poor value driven arguments like fraud, incompetence and personal accusations. They easily fall into pseudoskepticism. This also explains why it is fruitless to argue back using logic and quantitative reasoning. They are not listening anymore, because they are in denial. They would rather like to kill than agree on anything that threatens their world view.

The only way to handle the “S” types is for the “N” types to keep working on their own. The  “S”-types will not be of much help at present, but eventually the data from more  experiments will convince some of them, and then finally, all of them from pure group pressure. Time is also an important factor. They need to withdraw, analyse the experiments and figure out how the new data can be incorporated in their old world view without to much change. And eventually they will come up with the theory that explains it all, and it can be considered a fact. And then, they will feel safe again.

The Fool Proof LENR Trade ?!?

So you believe in a LENR future? Well, I certainly do!

So how can this belief be profitable? There are not any LENR stocks to buy yet. And anyhow, if there were, those would be very risky, since the first one to enter the market might not be a winner. Today the LENR companies are entering the VC sphere (Ecat/Rossi through Industrial Heat/Cherokee Fund and Brillouin through Sunrise Securities) and are somewhat hard to invest in for us outsiders.

LENR is a true market black swan. Everything will change when energy start moving from being a scarce resource to abundant and much cheaper. It will affect the cost of almost everything except for labour and real estate maybe.  A truck load of new applications will arrive and tons of new companies will be formed. Think of it as the Internet boom in 1999 and multiply by X … Stockmarket will go through the roof. We will have hyperdeflation (in a good way) because everything is getting cheaper. The whole world will benefit.

Except for maybe the oil companies (they already know, as you know, if you read my posts) and their owners (mostly pension and mutual funds, i.e. ordinary people), and much worse, some countries that are terribly dependent on the oil/natural gas prices, like Russia, Saudi Arabia, Iran, Venezuela and Norway. The politicians of these countries need to get another job… (you might include US here as well, but that is more about -who has the power- than dependency per se). Anyhow, it might not be pretty.

As for Big Oil, I believe they are already planning to cash in. And probably will be loaded with cash and prepared when the hit comes.

So with stocks going up (focus on mid and small cap, since most large cap is heavily invested in todays energy scarce world), and oil price going down, the natural trade is going long Russell 2000 and short oil.

This can be done with a simple spread trade (IWM/USO). As you can see below the spread has been in a magnificent trend for the last two years gaining some 86% only touching the lower Bollinger band  (2std down on a 50 SMA) very briefly last july and september.  I see no reasons for this trend to end anywhere in the future in the face of LENR since the only reason for it to do so would be stock market crash combined with a peak oil dystopia… But that is not the reason for us to be here, is it?

Is the genie out of the bottle?

Last night it seems that maybe Fulvio Fabiani of Leonardo Corp. (Rossi, E-Cat, etc.) made a mistake listing the names of his employers on Linkedin. Beside Leonardo there was the recently funded (US$ 11 million in August 2013) Industrial Heat LLC of Releigh NC. What is even more interesting is that shortly after this was discovered the reference to Industrial Heat LLC was deleted by Fulvio! Have a look:

 

 

 

 

What is interesting about Industrial Heat is also the connection the VC company Cherokee Fund and their CEO Thomas Darden and senior analyst JT Vaughn who where referenced on the SEC listing of the Industrial Heat funding. Cherokee Fund have an investment portfolio with close to US$ 2 billion under management.

Anyhow, it will certainly be interesting to follow. Our analysis is that it kind of make sense in relation to all previous rumors and statements by Rossi. This is a good place to follow the development: ECatWorld

 

 

Increased Short Selling of Oil by the Big Banks

It’s been ten months since we published our report big banks short selling of oil: Why are the Big Financial Institutions Selling Oil BIG on Oilprice.com. Since then the report has been downloaded more than 16,000 times. And since then the big bank has continued to sell oil in a very consistent fasion.

Having a look at the latest COT report we see that the current short position in oil by the “swap dealers” i.e. JP Morgan, Goldman Sachs, etc. is about 552,000 contracts (ICE and NYMEX, futures and options, combined). cftc.gov CoT data

Here is a chart showing how they consistently keep selling. The chart also shows that the oil companies themselves have a neutral strategy since the beginning of 2011.

Our analysis is clear. The Big Banks are positioning themselves massively short in oil. At the same time Big Oil is no longer hedging themselves for a price drop like they use to prior to 2011.

This can’t be without a reason. Too much money is involved. The Big Banks have sold 750,000 contracts (75 billion dollars) since end of 2010. They know that the oil price will eventually plunge and they are not taking that loss. The taxpayer will, by owning Big Oil stock and managed money funds that are net long oil.

Omfattande rapport från Elforsk / Vattenfall ang. LENR (kall fusion)

Igår släppte Elforsk sin rapport om LENR. I en omfattande rapport går Margaretha Engström från Vattenfall och Sten Bergman från Stonepower igenom många av de experiment, metoder, marknader och teorier som diskuterats inom LENR området.

http://www.elforsk.se/Global/Omvärld_system/filer/Rapport_13_90.pdf

Bland annat drar de följande slutsats:

Idag handlar LENR tekniken inte längre om på vad man tror eller inte. Det handlar mer om att vara konstruktivt skeptisk och acceptera att vissa LENR-apparater tycks avge mer energi än de rimligen borde med klassiska antaganden om bakomliggande processer. …

Intressant fortsättning följer garanterat.

Storbankerna ökar sin blankning av olja. Nu 380 miljarder kronor.

Då och då tar jag mig en titt på CFTC och Commitment of Traders Report för att se hur storbankerna ändrar sin position i olja. För några månader sedan var deras korta position cirka 450 tusen kontrakt. Nu i mitten av november 2013 är positionen uppe i 540 tusen kontrakt. De stora bankerna med Goldman Sachs och JP Morgan Chase i spetsen har alltså ökat sin blankning av olja till i storleksordningen 380 miljarder kronor.

Min logik säger att den positionen har ingen om man tror att priset på olja skall gå upp …

Det kan i det sammanhanget tyckas konstigt att de stora fonderna (alltså vanliga människors pengar) ökat sin långa position till 290 tusen kontrakt (200 miljarder kronor).

Min analys är att denna diskrepens i hur olika aktörer på marknaden ser på oljepriset innehåller en del intressant information. Frågan är bara exakt vad?

Goda nyheter från Defkalion och Purdue University, IN, USA

Såg denna artikel alldeles nyss. Skriven av John Hadjichristos (Defkalion) och Yeoung E. Kim (Purdue University, IL, USA).

http://www.physics.purdue.edu/people/faculty/yekim/ICCF-18-JCMNS-KH-Pre-1.pdf

Här är några utdrag:

Abstract—Experimental results for anomalous heat effect and super magnetic field observed for hydrogen-Nickel systems are described. Theoretical analysis and reaction mechanisms are presented using theory of Boson cluster state nuclear fusion (BCSNF) based on the optical theorem formulation. Observed excess heat generation and anomalously large magnetic field are explained by theoretical descriptions based on nano-scale explosions (“Bosenova”) and proton supper currents.

Defkalion’s Hyperion R-5 reactor has been demonstrated to be a reliable working device producing excess heat at sufficiently high level with reliable control and high reproducibility for further scientific investigations and for practical applications. The experimental results obtained with the HyperionR-5 reactor are described in some details.

 

Kall fusion / LENR verifierad av Uppsala Universitet, KTH och Bologna Universitet

Äntligen är tredjeparts-rapporten släppt. Och den är bra.

http://arxiv.org/abs/1305.3913

Authors:
  • Giuseppe Levi Bologna University, Bologna, Italy
  • Evelyn Foschi Bologna, Italy
  • Torbjörn Hartman, Bo Höistad, Roland Pettersson and Lars Tegnér Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden
  • Hanno Essén Royal Institute of Technology, Stockholm, Sweden
Abstract:
“An experimental investigation of possible anomalous heat production in a special type of reactor tube named E-Cat HT is carried out. The reactor tube is charged with a small amount of hydrogen loaded nickel powder plus some additives. The reaction is primarily initiated by heat from resistor coils inside the reactor tube. Measurement of the produced heat was performed with high-resolution thermal imaging cameras, recording data every second from the hot reactor tube. The measurements of electrical power input were performed with a large bandwidth three-phase power analyzer. Data were collected in two experimental runs lasting 96 and 116 hours, respectively. An anomalous heat production was indicated in both experiments. The 116-hour experiment also included a calibration of the experimental set-up without the active charge present in the E-Cat HT. In this case, no extra heat was generated beyond the expected heat from the electric input. Computed volumetric and gravimetric energy densities were found to be far above those of any known chemical source. Even by the most conservative assumptions as to the errors in the measurements, the result is still one order of magnitude greater than conventional energy sources.”

Storbankernas blankning av olja nu uppe i 300 miljarder kronor

Jag har fortsatt att följa CoT data från CFTC och studerade precis fredagens data. Tidigare har jag plockat grafer från Barchart.com (Se här: http://oilprice.com/Finance/investing-and-trading-reports/Why-Are-the-Big-Financial-Institutions-Selling-Oil-BIG.html ) men nu tittade jag som sagt i CoT rapporten (cftc.gov). Där framgår inte bara positionerna på NYMEX utan även ICE. Slår vi ihop dessa ser vi att storbankernas korta position i olja inte är 300 tusen kontrakt (som jag skrev i tidigare inlägg) utan hela 450 tusen kontrakt.

Samtidigt ligger “managed money”, alltså de stora fonderna lång olja 235 tusen kontrakt, vilket motsvarar ett värde av knappt 160 miljarder kronor. Till det skall läggas att 91% (storbankerna har någon enstaka procent) av aktierna (whoownsbigoil.org) i de stora oljebolagen ägs av fonder, pensionsfonder och privatpersoner. De största noterade oljebolagen har ett marknadsvärde i storleksordningen 7000 miljarder kronor (överslagsräkning, Exxon är störst med 2700 miljarder). Detta innebär alltså att våra fonder och pensioner har en exponering på cirka 6500 miljarder kronor i höjda oljepriser och fortsatt oljeberoende.

Fast ännu värre är det för de statligt ägda oljebolagen (OPEC, Ryssland, Venezuela, Nigeria, Norge, etc). De står får mellan 80-90% av oljetillgångerna. Deras exponering i oljan skulle då efter lite grovt räknande vara i storleksordningen 50.000 miljarder kronor.

Sammanfattningsvis skulle man kunna säga att de som ligger sämst till om ett alternativ som kan ersätta oljan dyker upp är givetvis de oljeborende staterna, kanske med Ryssland i spetsen (som sägs vara beroende av oljepriser på $70-$90 för att klara sina åtagande framöver). Därefter handlar det om pensions och fondsparare här i västvärlden, de dessa sitter på majoriteten av de övriga värdena.

De som nu ligger i vinnarhålet vid en oljekrasch är utan tvekan storbankerna. Den har marginellt med tillgångar i oljebolagen och har en massiv kort position i olja.

För oljebolagen själva är förstås läget dystert. Aktiekurserna kommer att rasa, men det drabbar som sagt främst privatspararna. Management med insiderinformation kommer enkelt att kunna positionera sig för att tjäna på en nedgång.

Självklart skriver jag detta därför att jag tror att vi står inför ett genombrott inom LENR. Den här intressanta bilden på en LENR reaktor som enligt uppgift visar på kraftig överskottsvärme dök upp för någon dag sedan.

Från http://22passi.blogspot.se/

These are two steel cylinders coaxial. Interior space between the two cylinders contains the resistance heating and the reaction chamber with the active material. Bases are sealed with mastic from blast furnace of Saratoga. Not need the sealing pressure. all painted black paint to increase the emissivity and able to withstand 1200 ° C

This is a stage of the measurement.

At the time of the photo, the average temperature of the outer surface was 801 ° C with a local peak of 873 ° C. Inner surface temperature from 1100 ° C to over 1200 ° C. Parallel switching of 2 heating resistors (4 cables that you see). Value of the parallel 6 Ohm. Supply voltage alternating current (50 Hz) of 147 volts. Current consumption 24.25 amps. Power consumption 3.56 kW. Radiated power from both internal and external walls considered equal to a total of 13.39 kW gross of average ambient temperature of 35 ° C internal wall white-hot unapproachable under a meter for the breath of hot air. External wall measured by thermal imager with precision 2% of the measured value. Inner wall measured with laser thermometer from 1.2 meters away from small hand shaky eager to keep the skin attached.

Conservative values and for defect (very) cause removal heat convective motion estimated in at least 8% of the outer wall and cosine irradiation down to the inner wall due to the high angle of irradiation thermometer laser (pointing almost on axis with the inner cylinder).

Reaction stable without shackles on my mind. Practically boring.